Why do startups burn so much money?

2 of 6

An order can lose money today and still be worth it, if the customer stays. Here’s how to tell.

Money

What Is a Customer Worth?

Lifetime value and acquisition cost, the two numbers behind every “first order free”.

Manas Jain2 min read

A new tiffin service in your area offers your first week free. Seven days of home-style lunches, delivered, for nothing.

It looks like a terrible deal for them. The food and delivery cost them about ₹700, and you’ve paid nothing.

But they’re not thinking about this week. They’re thinking about the next ten months.

Two numbers

Every business that pays to win customers lives by two numbers.

Customer acquisition cost (CAC) is what it costs to win one new customer. Add up the ads, the free trials, the referral bonuses and the sales team’s time, then divide by the number of customers who signed up.

Lifetime value (LTV) is how much profit that customer brings in while they stay. A simple version: the profit you make from them each month, multiplied by how many months they stay.

Say the tiffin service charges ₹2,500 a month and keeps ₹500 of it as profit. The average customer stays 10 months. That customer is worth ₹5,000. Spending ₹1,500 to win them, free week included, starts to look sensible.

Think of planting a mango tree

You pay for the sapling, the soil and the watering long before you see a single mango. For years, the tree only costs you.

Then it fruits, season after season. A good customer is a mango tree. CAC is the sapling. LTV is every mango it will ever give you.

The rule of thumb

Many investors look for an LTV at least three times the CAC. Below that, there’s little room for mistakes. Above it, the business can afford to spend more on growth.

The second question is how fast the money comes back. Earning back your CAC in four months is very different from earning it back in four years.

Where you’ll spot it

  • “Refer a friend, you both get ₹100.” That’s a CAC of ₹200, often cheaper than ads.
  • Credit card joining bonuses. The bank expects years of fees and interest.
  • Generous free trials. They’re betting you’ll stay long after they end.

The catch

CAC is a fact. You’ve already spent it. LTV is a guess about the future, and guesses are easy to inflate. If customers leave after three months instead of ten, that ₹5,000 customer is suddenly worth ₹1,500. That’s exactly what it cost to win them, with nothing left for rent or salaries.

That’s why the cheapest growth is keeping the customers you have. A customer who stays longer raises your LTV and costs nothing to win again.

A customer you keep is a customer you never have to pay for twice.

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Some customers are worth more than their own orders, because each one makes the product better for the rest.

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  1. After that
  2. 4Why Bigger Gets Cheaper
  3. 5Why Leaving Feels Expensive
  4. 6Profitable and Still Broke

Namaste, I’m Manas.

I’m a CS grad. Samanar is where I learn business out loud, one idea at a time. I’m not an expert yet. Writing it down clearly is how I get there.

Every article is a concept I had to understand first. I explain it the way I wish someone had explained it to me: short, plain, and with real examples.

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